Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 11.373589 12.738768 14.297166 16.229573 18.592835 21.431962 25.169634
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 10.658518 12.605329 15.032644 18.369420 22.990847 29.430397 39.640036
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 9.863435 12.076667 15.000432 19.318033 25.877938 36.185875 55.536682
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 8.721586 10.889022 13.848703 18.409430 25.750281 38.242853 64.764050
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.051075 10.236501 13.315599 18.260532 26.695585 42.314839 80.513221
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.498745 9.678372 12.830485 18.074693 27.491483 46.352526 99.611915
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.085452 9.272578 12.513507 18.090312 28.623513 51.504394 127.597685
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.782589 8.996432 12.356201 18.335984 30.236115 58.474452 173.097024
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.352249 8.492107 11.785564 17.767066 30.059187 60.932098 205.439345
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.081640 8.210311 11.544800 17.758638 31.073278 67.190085 276.954029
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.733079 7.783537 11.028489 17.167529 30.655651 69.039562 328.210748
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.359704 7.297142 10.378961 16.253971 29.328069 67.475982 347.781263
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.010343 6.847848 9.791309 15.461914 28.308003 67.145405 391.556105
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.143499 7.174536 10.552207 17.443288 34.707295 99.514313 1772.044449
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.085585 7.183738 10.755928 18.318722 38.607697 128.473562 21512.623079
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.798487 6.793925 10.206035 17.480266 37.253733 127.851040 78219.194424
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.627016 6.589372 9.981818 17.342701 38.041286 141.857055 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.464822 6.391503 9.755116 17.170940 38.687666 156.577310 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.337529 6.246264 9.616309 17.185378 39.977760 179.569122 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.243794 6.153483 9.569767 17.412416 42.113976 217.142155 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.072041 5.916699 9.229778 16.886459 41.341364 223.159384 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.967811 5.793714 9.104273 16.878662 42.567935 258.641383 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.812694 5.574619 8.777365 16.331449 41.527961 261.171460 NaN